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Brazilian Power Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

The Report Covers Brazil Power Market Trends and it is Segmented by Power Generation (thermal, hydropower, nuclear, and non-hydro renewables) and Power Transmission and Distribution (T&D). The report offers the market size and forecasts for the Brazil power market in terms of capacity (GW) for all the above segments.

Brazil Power Market Size

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Brazil Power Market Summary
Study Period 2019 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Market Volume (2024) 238.97 gigawatt
Market Volume (2029) 336.10 gigawatt
CAGR (2024 - 2029) 7.06 %
Market Concentration Medium

Major Players

Brazil Power Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

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Brazil Power Market Analysis

The Brazil Power Market size is estimated at 238.97 gigawatt in 2024, and is expected to reach 336.10 gigawatt by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 7.06% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

In 2020, COVID-19 had a detrimental effect on the market. Presently, the market has reached pre-pandemic levels.

  • Over the long term, factors such as the increasing demand for clean and low-carbon power sources and favorable government policies are expected to drive the power market in Brazil.
  • However, the long delays in the construction of power transmission projects due to logistical, environmental, and social challenges are likely to hamper the market during the forecast period.
  • Nevertheless, Brazil has a strong future for coupling large-scale solar and wind power as hybrid power plants. In 2021, the Brazilian energy regulator, ANEEL, approved a new regulation for the operation of hybrid power plants. This, in turn, is expected to provide ample opportunity for Brazil's power market in the coming future.
  • The country has many ambitious renewable energy projects lined up. With enormous solar, wind, and hydro energy potential, the country is ready to leap into the renewable market. Moreover, the government regulates policies to attract foreign investment in renewable power plants. This, in turn, is expected to drive the Brazilian power market during the forecast period.

Brazil Power Market Trends

Hydropower to Dominate the Market

  • Hydropower has been active in Brazil for a long time. It is expected to continue to be the most dominant form of power generation, primarily due to its enormous potential. Further, hydropower helps keep electricity tariffs low.
  • According to the Ministry of Mines and Energy in Brazil, in 2021, hydropower accounted for approximately 57% of total electricity generation in the country.
  • Hydropower is a mature technology in the country, and the scope for future growth may be limited on a large scale. However, small hydropower projects are likely to increase in the coming years, which will have less impact on the environment and be more economical to build.
  • As of 2022, Brazil has about 195 MW of hydroelectric projects that were scheduled to start commercial operations in the same year, including Elera Renováveis' Foz do Estrela small hydro unit. Further, the government has set an ambitious target to achieve a hydropower capacity of 112.5 GW by 2030. This is expected to see significant developments in hydropower during the forecast period.
  • Brazil is also becoming a leader in developing hybrid energy projects with the recent development of a solar floating photovoltaic plant on the Furnas-owned 52 MW Batalha hydropower project reservoir. In 2020, Tractebel was awarded the contract to build the 15-hectare floating plant with a 30 MW installed capacity.
  • The country is also investing in the upgrade of the existing hydropower plants to improve the plants measurement, protection, control, regulation, and monitoring systems. This is expected to increase the power generation of the plants, which, in turn, is likely to drive the Brazilian power market.
  • For instance, in May 2022, GE Renewable Energy received a contract for the technological upgrade works at the 14 GW Itaipu hydropower plant in Brazil. The power plant will be upgraded by a consortium led by GE Renewable Energy's hydropower business, with the primary focus being on modernizing the plant's equipment.

With the upcoming hydropower projects and targets, along with the massive hydropower potential in Brazil, the hydropower generation segment is expected to dominate the power market during the forecast period.

Brazil Power Market: Hydropower Total Installed Capacity, in GW, Brazil, 2019- 2022

Supporting Government Policies and Ambitious Renewable Targets to Drive the Market

  • Over the years, hydropower has dominated the energy matrix in Brazil. However, the Brazilian government has been focusing on increasing wind and solar power capacity in recent years.
  • Solar energy has one of the world's fastest-growing distributed energy resources and has also been rapidly expanding in Brazil in recent years.
  • Brazilian law refers to distributed power generation as "renewable power generation," which mostly involves solar photovoltaic by a captive customer of a power distribution concession area based on on-site or off-site power plants connected to the utility's distribution grid.
  • The Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency (ANEEL) rules and regulations apply to DG projects, particularly the recently enacted Federal Law No. 14,300/2022 ("DG Legislative Framework") and ANEEL Normative Resolution No. 482/2012, as amended (REN 482).
  • As of 2021, there were 1,018,792 operational DG projects, which added 11.03 GW of installed capacity to the Brazilian power generation matrix. Approximately 99% of these projects are solar PV, as they are more affordable than other renewable energy sources.
  • Further, the Ministry of Mines and Energy and the state-run Empresa de Pesquisa Energetica (EPE) agency have recently extended the National Energy Plan (PNE) up to 2050. The government of Brazil has set a renewable energy target of around 45% by 2030 under the new strategy. This is expected to witness massive development in the renewable power sector in Brazil.
  • In January 2022, a Brazilian renewable energy company, Ibitu Energia, announced its construction of a 1 GW solar power complex in Piaui state. With an initial investment of about BRL 1 billion (USD 181 million), it is planned to be built in three stages. With such projects, the government prioritizes renewable energy projects, which, in turn, are expected to boost the country's power market during the forecast period.
  • In January 2022, a Norwegian hydropower company, Statkraft, planned to start the construction of an 80 MW wind power project in Brazil. The construction is planned to begin in June 2022, the first wind turbines are expected to start operation by October 2023, and completion is scheduled for 2024. With excellent wind potential in the area, the project is expected to generate about 386 GWh of renewable energy per year, enough to power more than 190,000 homes in Brazil.
  • Moreover, the Brazilian wind power installation is expected to grow from around 21 GW at the end of 2021 to more than 32 GW by 2026, according to the Brazilian Wind Energy Association, ABEEólica.
  • Therefore, the factors mentioned above and the rising investments in renewables are expected to see significant developments and drive the Brazilian power market during the forecast period.
Brazil Power Market: Installed Capacity Mix, By Source, In %, Brazil, 2021

Brazil Power Industry Overview

The Brazilian power market is moderately fragmented. Some of the major companies operating in the market (in no particular order) include Norte Energia SA, Petróleo Brasileiro SA, Enel Brasil, Eletrosul Centrais Elétricas SA (CGT Eletrosul), and Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica SA.

Brazil Power Market Leaders

  1. Norte Energia S.A.

  2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A.

  3. Eletrosul Centrais Elétricas SA (CGT Eletrosul)

  4. Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica SA

  5. Enel Brasil

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Brazil Power Market Concentration
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Brazil Power Market News

  • March 2023: Petrobras and Equinor entered an agreement aiming to expand cooperation between the companies to analyze the technical, economic, and environmental feasibility of seven offshore wind power generation projects. These projects are projected to have the potential to produce up to 14.5 GW. Initially, it will expand on the scope of two planned wind farms, namely, Aracatu I and II, located on the coast between Rio de Janeiro and Espírito Santo. The new agreement also considers a feasibility study of wind farms in Mangara (on the coast of Piaui); Ibitucatu (on the coast of Ceara); Colibri (on the coast between Rio Grande do Norte and Ceara), as well as Atoba and Ibituassu both on the coast of Rio Grande do Sul. In total, there are seven projects set to run until 2028.
  • March 2022: The Government of Brazil signed a cooperation agreement with the Electric Energy Research Center to study new sites for nuclear plants in Brazil. Increasing the share of thermonuclear sources in the country's energy matrix is expected to reduce the impacts of water crises on electricity generation.

Brazil Power Market Report - Table of Contents

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    1. 1.1 Scope of the Study

    2. 1.2 Market Definition

    3. 1.3 Study Assumptions

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  3. 3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  4. 4. MARKET OVERVIEW

    1. 4.1 Introduction

    2. 4.2 Power Installed Capacity and Forecast in GW, till 2028

    3. 4.3 Electricity Generation Mix in Brazil, 2022

    4. 4.4 List of Major Upcoming Projects, 2022

    5. 4.5 Recent Trends and Developments

    6. 4.6 Government Targets, Policies, and Regulations

    7. 4.7 Market Dynamics

      1. 4.7.1 Drivers

      2. 4.7.2 Restraints

    8. 4.8 Supply Chain Analysis

    9. 4.9 PESTLE Analysis

  5. 5. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 5.1 Power Generation

      1. 5.1.1 Thermal

      2. 5.1.2 Hydropower

      3. 5.1.3 Nuclear

      4. 5.1.4 Non-hydro Renewables

    2. 5.2 Power Transmission and Distribution (T&D)

  6. 6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    1. 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements

    2. 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players

    3. 6.3 Company Profiles

      1. 6.3.1 Norte Energia SA

      2. 6.3.2 Petróleo Brasileiro SA

      3. 6.3.3 Enel Brasil

      4. 6.3.4 Eletrosul Centrais Elétricas SA (CGT Eletrosul)

      5. 6.3.5 Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica SA

      6. 6.3.6 Engie SA

      7. 6.3.7 Statkraft AA

      8. 6.3.8 Neoenergia SA

      9. 6.3.9 Omega Energia SA

    4. *List Not Exhaustive
  7. 7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

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Brazil Power Industry Segmentation

The Brazil power market includes cumulative power generation installed capacity from thermal, hydroelectric, nuclear, and renewable energy sources.

The Brazilian power market is segmented by power generation (thermal, hydropower, nuclear, and non-hydro renewables) and power transmission and distribution (T&D). For each segment, the market sizing and forecasts have been done based on installed capacity in GW.

Power Generation
Thermal
Hydropower
Nuclear
Non-hydro Renewables
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Brazil Power Market Research FAQs

The Brazil Power Market size is expected to reach 238.97 gigawatt in 2024 and grow at a CAGR of 7.06% to reach 336.10 gigawatt by 2029.

In 2024, the Brazil Power Market size is expected to reach 238.97 gigawatt.

Norte Energia S.A., Petróleo Brasileiro S.A., Eletrosul Centrais Elétricas SA (CGT Eletrosul), Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica SA and Enel Brasil are the major companies operating in the Brazil Power Market.

In 2023, the Brazil Power Market size was estimated at 223.21 gigawatt. The report covers the Brazil Power Market historical market size for years: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2023. The report also forecasts the Brazil Power Market size for years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029.

Brazilian Power Industry Report

The Brazil power market is undergoing significant changes, driven by various factors across different segments. The market is segmented by power generation methods, including thermal, hydropower, nuclear, and non-hydro renewables, as well as power transmission and distribution. This comprehensive industry analysis provides a detailed industry overview, focusing on the current trends and future projections within the Brazilian power sector.

The report offers an in-depth market data analysis, highlighting key industry trends and providing a thorough market analysis. The industry outlook is positive, with expected growth driven by advancements in technology and increasing investments in renewable energy sources. The market forecast suggests continued expansion and development within the sector, supported by favorable government policies and initiatives aimed at promoting sustainable energy.

The industry statistics reveal a robust market structure, with significant contributions from both established and emerging players. The market segmentation analysis provides insights into the performance of different power generation methods and their impact on the overall market. The market value is projected to increase, reflecting the growing demand for energy and the shift towards cleaner, more efficient power sources.

This report example includes a detailed market review, focusing on the key market leaders and their strategies to maintain and enhance their market position. The market growth is driven by several factors, including technological advancements, regulatory support, and increasing consumer awareness about the benefits of renewable energy.

The market overview highlights the key drivers and challenges facing the industry, providing a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics. The market predictions indicate a positive trajectory, with significant opportunities for growth and expansion in the coming years.

The report pdf provides a detailed analysis of the market segmentation, offering insights into the performance of different segments and their contribution to the overall market. The research companies involved in this study have utilized various methodologies to ensure accurate and reliable market data.

In conclusion, the Brazil power market is poised for significant growth, driven by favorable market conditions and increasing investments in renewable energy. This industry research provides valuable insights into the market trends, industry size, and growth rate, offering a comprehensive outlook for stakeholders and investors. The industry reports and industry information included in this study provide a detailed understanding of the market dynamics, helping stakeholders make informed decisions.

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Brazilian Power Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)